And so the fun continues into day two. After a mere 90 minutes sleep, I cannot sleep any more. So off we go…
1455 – regardless of what happens, I think all three leaders have been extremely dignified today. They look a bit humbled given the lack of ringing endorsement to any of them. “Chastened” is, perhaps, the right word. Have the public achieved exactly what they wanted?
1451 – how can Cameron tacitly admit that the electoral system is flawed and then say he doesn’t want to change it?
1444 – Is David Camron’s “Big, Open and Comprehensive Offer” a trap for the Lib Dems? Or is it the stuff that transforms a country truly in the national interest?
1440 – Cameron rewriting decades of political tradition here…
1417 – it’s truly remarkable that Clegg’s statement this morning has set a new constitutional precedent. Gordon Brown has acknowledged that Clegg has every right to look to work with the vote and seat winner of the election. That is very good. The constitutional position of the sitting prime minister getting first go, regardless of the circumstances, was ridiculous and unfair. Now Brown has accepted it, it sets a new precedent. And precedents, if they keep going, become part of the constitution. Until someone breaks them, like Clegg.
What a non-conformist!
1248 – these results need very details analysis. That will come in the days ahead. There are some remarkable regional differences underneath the general swing to the Tories. But what’s amazing is that if you draw a line from the Severn to the Wash, and exclude London, there are but a handful of Labour MPs. A rump regional party?
1235 – I can’t believe it sounds like the Tories are in open revolt.
1233 – fair point from Fraser Nelson about how difficult this is going to be for the Tories to get through a great deal of difficult parliamentary business if they choose to govern as a minority.
1149 – What are the options looking like from here?
Most likely: Cameron forms a minority administration with Lib Dem blessing.
Second most likely: Brown resigns, Lsbour seek to govern with Lib Dem support and new Prime Minister.
Third most likely, quite unlikely though: Lib Dems agree to a Labour programme of government, with Gordon Brown as PM.
Fourth most likely, very unlikely: Clegg refuses offer of programme for government from the Tories, group of MPs defect to the Tories to grant them a majority.
Not going to happen: any form of coalition government involving seats at Cabinet. Forget it.
1147 – I can’t wait to see what the new list of Lib Dem targets looks like. It seemed to me that there were a huge number of seats that were extremely close.
1130 – I think it’s time the media realised that The Alliance Party of Northern Ireland are a sister party to the Liberal Democrats. Jeremy Vine has just claimed “she is more likely to join Labour”.
1122 – Labour making it up as they gone along now. Lab+LD > Tories does not mean they have a right to govern if they are way short of a majority.
1113 – I predicted that things would move quite quickly today. It looks like that might be the case. Cameron to make a statement at 1430.
1058 – another election within a couple of years? I think so. The only question is whether there will be a referendum on voting reform in the meantime. My instinct says no.
1045 – Nick Clegg’s positional is constitutionally incorrect, but morally right. Labour should not have first chance to govern.
1043 – Clegg looking impressive in his statement, but he should have put the bit on electoral reform first. Someone show him the fucking numbers about the disgrace that has just transpired.
1032 – no, it didn’t. And no one has still answered the question: how can the Lib Dems possibly go into coalition with Labour when the parliamentary arthmetic is still against them?
1008 – time for breakfast. Will chocolate Ready Brek cheer me up?
0954 – Julia Hartley-Bitch talking utter shit about electoral reform on BBC News.
0951 – can the LDs scrape home in Brent Central? Oh, I hope so. Please. It’s been a cruel night, I feel it may now continue into the day after…
0934 – How on Earth did Scotland go through an election, five years after the last one, and produce the exact same result? What a load of bores. Do none of them change their minds?
0918 – can we please lose all these pundits telling us how sad the fucking markets are? This is POLITICS. Did Belgium collapse while they spent nine months forming a government? The people come first. We shouldn’t be letting our decision making be forced or clouded by the right-wing forces of economics.
0856 – fancy some more?
857k = 0 MPs
530k = 0 MPs
Mandelson has got one thing right. FPTP is on its last legs. But will the Tories put it out of its misery? Of course not.
0849 – 168k votes = 8 MPs
261k votes = 1 MP
6.3m votes = 51 MPs
Just another day in the life of First Past The Post.